Political Polling – 9th September 2014

9th September 2014

The Conservatives lose a point while Labour gain to give Ed Miliband’s party an 8 point lead with 37%.

The Conservatives have 29% followed by UKIP on 19% and the Liberal Democrats on 7%. UKIP’s figures have been volatile recently, going from 16% to 21%, back to 16% and now back up to 19%.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 29 -1
Labour 37 +1
Liberal Democrats 7 n/c
Other parties 27 n/c

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 19 +3
Green 4 n/c
SNP 3 -2
BNP 0 -1
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 37% 46% -9% +80%
Ed Miliband 25% 47% -22% +37%
Nick Clegg 17% 58% -41% +39%
Nigel Farage 35% 36% -1% +83%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,960 GB adults aged 18+ from 9th to 11th September 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.