Political Polling – 8th April 2014

8th April 2014

Labour have regained their lead after the Conservatives’s post-budget bounce reduced it to just 1%. Ed Miliband’s party has 36% of the vote vs. 30% for the Conservatives.

Meanwhile, the fallout from the debate between Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg appears to have boosted UKIP but not the Liberal Democrats. Nigel Farage’s party have gained 3 points to reach 18% while the Liberal Democrats, after a brief run in double figures, have dropped 3 points to 7%.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 30 -2
Labour 36 +3
Liberal Democrats 7 -3
Other parties 27 +2

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 18 +3
Green 3 n/c
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 36% 47% -11% +86%
Ed Miliband 24% 44% -20% +40%
Nick Clegg 16% 60% -44% +29%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,972 GB adults aged 18+ from 8th to 10th April 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.