Political Polling – 6th August 2013

6th August 2013

Labour have dropped 3 points to 36% while the Conservatives, Lib Dems and UKIP all see single point gains.
The Conservatives are on 29%, giving Labour a 7 point lead, while UKIP and the Liberal Democrats are on 17% and 9% respectively

Topline Voting Intention

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 29 +1
Labour 36 -3
Liberal Democrats 9 +1
Other parties 26 +1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 +1
Green 3 n/c
SNP 3 -1
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 1 +1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  • David Cameron’s approval rating has continued to improve. 34% approve (up from 33%) and 49% disapprove (down from 50%) of his job performance, giving him a net rating of -15%. This is the best figure for the prime minister since January 8th
  • In contrast, Labour leader Ed Miliband has gone in the opposite direction with 21% approving (down from 22%) and 47% disapproving (up from 44%), taking his net rating from -22% to -26%. This gives the PM an 11 point lead in terms of personal approval, his biggest since April 2012
  • 13% approve of Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg while 58% disapprove, giving him a net rating of -45%
  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 34% 49% -15% +80%
Ed Miliband 21% 47% -26% +32%
Nick Clegg 13% 58% -45% +38%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,945 GB adults aged 18+ from 6th to 8th August 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.