Political Polling – 3rd September 2013

3rd September 2013

Labour’s lead has shrunk from 7 points to 5 points as the party drops to 35% while the Conservatives climb to 30%.

The Lib Dems have dropped a point to 7% while UKIP have dropped a point to 17%.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 30 +1
Labour 35 -1
Liberal Democrats 7 -1
Other parties 28 +1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 -1
Green 4 n/c
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 2 +1
Plaid Cymru 0 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  • David Cameron’s approval rating shows he has yet to take any significant damage as a result of losing the Syria vote in the Commons. His net rating of -15% is the largest lead he has held over Labour leader Ed Miliband since before the 2012 budget
  • Mr Cameron’s rating is a minor improvement on the -18% net rating he had in the previous poll while Ed Miliband’s net approval rating remains at -31%
  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 34% 49% -15% +79%
Ed Miliband 20% 51% -31% +27%
Nick Clegg 13% 60% -47% +37%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,942 GB adults aged 18+ from 3rd to 6th September 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.