Political Polling – 3rd June 2014

3rd June 2014

Labour’s lead has expanded to four points with 35% vs. 31% for the Conservatives.

UKIP remain steady on 19% while the Liberal Democrats have dropped to 6% following their contrasting performances in the European elections.

Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)Voting Intention Tracker

  % Change
Conservative 31 -1
Labour 35 +2
Liberal Democrats 6 -1
Other parties 28 n/c

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 19 n/c
Green 4 n/c
SNP 3 n/c
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 1 +1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 35% 48% -13% +84%
Ed Miliband 23% 48% -25% +40%
Nick Clegg 13% 63% -50% +50%
Nigel Farage 36% 37% -1% +82%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,950 GB adults aged 18+ from 3rd to 5th June 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.