Political Polling – 30th April 2013

30th April 2013

  • The Tories drop a point to 28% and the Lib Dems gain a point, rising to 9%
  • The party leaders also see no significant change in their approval ratings. Prime Minister David Cameron sees a slight drop in the number who approve of his job performance (from 34% to 32%), taking his net rating to -19%
  • Labour leader Ed Miliband also sees a minor drop to a net rating of -20% from -19% in the previous poll while Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg sees a similar one point drop in his net rating, taking it to -45%

This week we asked likely voters whether they could imagine Ed Miliband as Prime Minister, repeating a question asked back in September 2012.

  • In September last year 28% of likely voters said that they could imagine Miliband as PM while 63% could not
  • More than six months later and those figures have barely moved with 31% now saying they could imagine the Labour leader as prime minister while 62% say they can’t

Topline Voting Intention

  % Change
Conservative 28 -1
Labour 35 n/c
Liberal Democrats 9 +1
Other parties 28 n/c

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 n/c
Green 4 n/c
SNP 4 +1
BNP 1 -1
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 32% 51% -19% +77%
Ed Miliband 23% 43% -20% +43%
Nick Clegg 14% 59% -45% +49%

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,951 GB adults aged 18+ from 30th April – 2nd May 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.