Political Polling – 23rd September 2014

23rd September 2014

Labour’s lead over the Conservatives has dropped from 8 points to just 2 giving Ed Miliband’s party the smallest lead since May. Labour have 34% vs. 32% for the Conservatives, 7% for the Lib Dems and 17% for UKIP.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 32 +3
Labour 34 -3
Liberal Democrats 7 n/c
Other parties 27 n/c

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 -2
Green 4 n/c
SNP 4 +1
BNP 1 +1
Plaid Cymru 0 -1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 39% 45% -6% +83%
Ed Miliband 28% 46% -18% +45%
Nick Clegg 18% 59% -41% +56%
Nigel Farage 34% 39% -5% +83%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,984 GB adults aged 18+ from 23rd to 26th September 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.