Political Polling – 19th April 2017

Tories lead rises after snap election called as UKIP vote falls away to the Conservatives.

The Conservative lead has increased to 19 points in our latest voting intention poll in the 48 hours after the election was announced. The Conservatives are on 45% (up 7 points from last week), while Labour is on 26% (down 3 points).

UKIP has fallen into fourth place on 9% (down 5 points), with the Lib Dems back in third place on 11% (up 4 points).

In a separate study, we have been following the same 2,000 voters all through this parliament. We asked how they intended to vote in February 2017 and immediately after the general election was called.

We found that since the snap election was called, those who recently intended to vote UKIP have peeled away in favour of the Conservatives. Only half (53%) of those who intended to vote UKIP in February are planning to do so now, with 30% now opting to vote for the Conservatives.

The crumbling of the UKIP vote in favour of the Tories is the main reason for their (almost) overnight improved performance in the polls.

Leader Approval Ratings

Theresa May’s approval ratings stay at their near high of +21%. Currently almost half (49%) approve of the way she is handling her job and 28% disapprove.

 

Seven weeks off from the election, this leaves Theresa May with far higher approval ratings than Jeremy Corbyn. 

The gap between the two is also noticeably wider than the gap we recorded between David Cameron and Ed Miliband at the same point in 2015 (42% approved of Mr Cameron vs 25% approving of Mr Milliband).

See the full tables here.