Political Polling – 16th April 2013

16th April 2013

  • Labour have dropped from 38% to 35% while the Conservatives gain a point, rising to 29%. Labour’s drop also means that this is the first time since November that their share of the vote has been below the combined total for both coalition parties
  • The Lib Dems remain at 8% and have been within 1 point of 8% in every poll since September
  • UKIP also maintain their high of 17% with their post-Eastleigh bounce showing no signs of dissipating. The increase in “other” is driven mainly by one point increases for some of the minor parties

Topline Voting Intention

  % Change
Conservative 29 +1
Labour 35 -3
Liberal Democrats 8 n/c
Other parties 28 +2

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 n/c
Green 4 +1
SNP 3 -1
BNP 2 +1
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 34% 51% -17% +82%
Ed Miliband 23% 42% -19% +43%
Nick Clegg 14% 58% -44% +45%

Voting Intention Tracker

Voting Intention Tracker inc. UKIP

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,969 GB adults aged 18+ from 16th – 18th April 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.