Political Polling – 15th July 2014

15th July 2014

Labour’s lead has dropped back to 4 points, with Labour down one point on 34%, and the Tories up to 30%.

The Liberal Democrats are up two points to 9%, while UKIP is on 17%.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 30 +1
Labour 34 -1
Liberal Democrats 9 +2
Other parties 27 -2

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 17 -1
Green 4 -1
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 0 n/c
Other 0 -1

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 38% 45% -7% +85%
Ed Miliband 26% 46% -20% +37%
Nick Clegg 18% 59% -41% +57%
Nigel Farage 38% 35% +3% +82%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,967 GB adults aged 18+ from 15th to 17th July 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.