Political Polling – 12th November 2013

12th November 2013

Labour’s lead has expanded again to 9 points as the Conservatives yo-yo back to 28%.
37% would vote Labour in a hypothetical general election, 9% would vote Lib Dem and 16% would vote UKIP.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 28 -3
Labour 37 n/c
Liberal Democrats 9 +2
Other parties 26 +1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 16 n/c
Green 4 +1
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 1 -1
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 +1

Approval ratings

  • Despite a drop in Conservative support, David Cameron’s net approval rating increases from -18% to -15% while Ed Miliband’s drops a point to -22% making this the widest lead the PM has had over the Labour leader since the start of October
  • Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg sees a minor improvement to -44%, up from -46% at the start of November
  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 34% 49% -15% +78%
Ed Miliband 23% 45% -22% +43%
Nick Clegg 15% 59% -44% +37%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,946 GB adults aged 18+ from 12th to 14th November 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.