Political Polling – 12th August 2014

12th August 2014

UKIP and the Lib Dems have seen shock rises of 6 and 3 points respectively at the expense of the two main parties who both see falls in their vote share.

Labour still lead with 32% but this is down on the 35% the registered last time. The Conservatives have also dropped to 28%, their lowest score since February. After dropping to their lowest result since March in the last poll, UKIP have jumped six points to 21% while the Liberal Democrats have also seen gains to 10%.

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

  % Change
Conservative 28 -4
Labour 32 -3
Liberal Democrats 10 +3
Other parties 30 +4

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 21 +6
Green 4 -1
SNP 3 -1
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 38% 47% -9% +81%
Ed Miliband 26% 46% -20% +38%
Nick Clegg 17% 60% -43% +59%
Nigel Farage 38% 36% +2% +77%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,963 GB adults aged 18+ from 12th to 15th August 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.