Political Polling – 10th July 2013

10th July 2013

Labour have an 11 point lead with 38% of the vote compared to 27% for the Conservatives. UKIP remain in third with 19%, far ahead of the Lib Dems on 6%

  • David Cameron’s approval rating has marginally improved again with 32% approving and 52% disapproving, giving him a net rating of -20%, up from -22% in the last poll
  • Ed Miliband has seen no immediate boost from the positive headlines surrounding his taking on the trade unions within the Labour party. The Labour leader’s net rating remains on -25% with 22% approving and 47% disapproving
  • Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg has a net rating of -49% with 12% approving and 61% disapproving

This week’s topical questions focused on sources of party funding, in particular those of the Labour party and we’ll have analysis of these on the site in the next few days.

Topline Voting Intention

  % Change
Conservative 27 n/c
Labour 38 +1
Liberal Democrats 6 -1
Other parties 28 -1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 19 n/c
Green 4 +1
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 1 n/c
Plaid Cymru 0 -1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 32% 52% -20% +79%
Ed Miliband 22% 47% -25% +35%
Nick Clegg 12% 61% -49% +41%

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,951 GB adults aged 18+ from 12th – 14th July 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.